Saturday, April 2, 2022

Data (Sigh...)

As we have seen, there is disagreement regarding whether the pandemic is over, or whether it matters whether it is over or not (open at all costs!).  I thought that, since everyone seems to be weighing in on this, that you and I should be able to, as well.

So - here's a CDC site that will provide you with the actual data (if that's how you roll), and you can use it to conclude anything you want.  The site is a little buggy, but it provides granular detail regarding testing, positivity, cases, deaths, etc.  Now you can be an expert, as well!

Here's Barnstable County, MA (Cape Cod), where we own a rental house in Cape's most rural town.  We've been hiding out from COVID here in the pines for as much time as possible (click to embiggen):

Interestingly, here's the data for Otsego County, where we actually live:

Lots wrong with this one.  In August/September of 2020, the students returned to the two colleges in our small city (SUNY Oneonta and Hartwick College) and, since SUNY O didn't require student testing, there were over 700 cases within two weeks.  There's a little blip on the screen for that time, but not 700+.  Also, according to the NY Times COVID tracker, there have been 88 COVID deaths in Otsego County; according to the county Health Department, there have been 111 "COVID-related deaths."  None show up on the CDC tracker.

Anyway, in both cases, we're practically at zero.  It' over!  But wait - it's trending upward.  Oh no, a surge!

So - how do we know when the pandemic is over if we can't rely on anyone's data, or what it means?  Frustrating, to say the least.  The answer, I suppose, is to use the data you like the best, depending on what you want it to mean.  That's what everyone else is doing!

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